Ne veš? Obtoži Rusijo! Kako finski predsednik uboga navodila šefa NATO pakta

Finski predsednik Alexander Stubb je Rusijo okrivil za številne varnostne izzive, s katerimi se sooča EU, vključno s pritokom migrantov v Ceuto, špansko eksklavo v Afriki, poleti.

Kasneje je priznal, da ni bil dovolj seznanjen z razmerami v Ceuti, da bi zavzel stališče.

Don’t know? Blame Russia: Finnish president takes page from NATO chief’s playbook Alexander Stubb has linked Moscow to a range of problems in the EU, while maintaining that a direct conflict is unlikely Published 5 Oct, 2026 04:09 | Updated 5 Oct, 2026 05:32 Finnish President Alexander Stubb has blamed Russia for a wide range of security concerns facing the EU, including the influx of migrants over the summer into Ceuta, Spain’s enclave in Morocco. He later admitted that he did not know the situation in Ceuta “well enough to take a position.” Stubb made the remarks in an interview with Spanish newspaper El Mundo over the weekend. Asked about potential hybrid threats posed by Russia, Stubb said the country would try to interfere with the upcoming Spanish election. Madrid “should expect some form of sabotage or hybrid attack. It could be related to information warfare or a campaign that threatens their democracy,” he claimed. The president went on to allege that Russian-backed cyberattacks are “happening as we speak against Spanish banks and other targets,” without citing specific evidence. “They send asylum seekers to our border, as we have also seen in Ceuta,” he said, accusing Russia of committing acts of sabotage throughout the EU. He also mentioned cases in which Russian-linked ships were accused of cutting undersea telecommunications cables in the Baltic Sea and the recent incident at Germany’s Leipzig/Halle Airport, where explosives-laden drones were found near Ukrainian cargo planes. Germany blamed Moscow and ordered the closure of a Russian consulate in Bonn and a Russian cultural center in Berlin. Russia dismissed the accusations as “nonsensical” and denied any involvement. Pressed further about Russia’s alleged role in the Ceuta crisis in late July, when more than 70,000 migrants crossed into the enclave, Stubb admitted that he did not “know the matter well enough to take a position.” Reuters reported at the time that migrants had been encouraged by viral videos and misleading claims about Spain’s asylum and migration rules. Spain later accused Russian- and Israeli-linked networks of spreading disinformation regarding the crisis, which both countries denied. Stubb’s interview came after NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte encouraged members of the bloc to attribute incidents to Russia whenever they are sure or “almost sure” that Russia is responsible. “When able, when you are sure it is the Russians, or almost sure it is the Russians, attribute it to the Russians,” Rutte said this week. Asked about the possibility of a direct conflict between NATO and Russia, however, Stubb dismissed it as negligible. “Do we expect Russia to attack? The answer is no. We have no evidence of that,” he told El Mundo. According to the Finnish president, EU leaders have a “communication problem,” as some have been “acting in an alarmist way and conflating [hypothetical] scenarios with the perception of the threat.” Lithuanian Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevicius urged officials this week not to “exaggerate” when making alarmist statements about Russia and said there is no evidence that the country is planning to attack NATO. Rutte has also said there is “no imminent threat to NATO territory.” Nevertheless, EU officials have argued that the bloc, as well as NATO, should be prepared for a potential clash with Russia. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said the country must be ready for a conflict by as early as 2028. The German government amended its constitutional debt brake to fund military spending and passed a 2026 budget allocating a record €108.2 billion ($121.5 billion) to defense and €11.5 billion in military assistance for Ukraine. Russia has stated that it would not attack any NATO country unless attacked first – warning, however, that Western military aid to Ukraine makes a dangerous escalation more likely. President Vladimir Putin has argued that European politicians are stirring tensions with Russia to distract voters from problems at home.

— REVSECRET15522 (@revsecret1552) October 5, 2026

Stubb je te izjave podal med koncem tedna v intervjuju za španski časnik Mundo. Na vprašanje o morebitnih hibridnih grožnjah, ki prihajajo iz Moskve, je Stubb zatrdil, da se bo Rusija poskušala vmešavati v prihajajoče volitve v Španiji.

Madrid »bi moral pričakovati določeno vrsto sabotaže ali hibridnega napada. Lahko bi bilo povezano z informacijskim bojevanjem ali kampanjo, ki ogroža njihovo demokracijo,« je dejal.

Stubb, sicer potencialni kandidat za pogajalca EU z Rusijo, je nadalje trdil, da se kibernetski napadi za katerimi stoji Rusija »dogajajo prav zdaj, usmerjeni proti španskim bankam in drugim tarčam«, ne da bi navedel kakršne koli konkretne dokaze.

'Do we expect Russia to attack? The answer is NO' Finland’s President Stubb rejects alarmist claims of EU counterparts — El Mundo 'We have NO EVIDENCE of that,' Stubb says, urging Europeans to distinguish between possible scenarios and the real level of threat https://t.co/pj4svIcN1m

— BRICS+TODAY (@Afrijustice4all) October 4, 2026

»(Rusi) prosilce za azil pošiljajo na našo mejo, kot smo videli tudi v primeru Ceute,« je dejal in Moskvo obtožil vodenja sabotaž po vsej EU.

Omenil je tudi primere, ko so bile ladje, povezane z Rusijo, obtožene rezanja podmorskih telekomunikacijskih kablov v Baltskem morju, pa tudi nedavni incident na nemškem letališču Leipzig-Halle, kjer so v bližini ukrajinskih tovornih letal našli drone z eksplozivom. Nemčija je za to (prav tako brez dokazov) okrivila Moskvo in odredila zaprtje ruskega konzulata v Bonnu in Ruskega doma v Berlinu. Rusija je obtožbe zavrnila kot »nesmisel« in zanikala kakršno koli vpletenost v incident.

Ko so ga novinarji dodatno vprašali o domnevni vlogi Rusije v krizi v Ceuti konec julija, ko je v enklavo nezakonito vstopilo več kot 70.000 migrantov, je Stubb priznal, da »zadeve ne pozna dovolj dobro, da bi zavzel stališče«.

@BowesChay He knows his classics... https://t.co/31rk3DZ6UJ

— Arend Bols (@ArendBols) August 31, 2026

Reuters je takrat poročal, da so migrante spodbudili viralni videoposnetki in zavajajoče trditve o španskih pravilih o azilu in migracijah.

Španija je kasneje obtožila mreže, povezane z Rusijo in Izraelom, širjenja dezinformacij v zvezi s krizo, kar sta obe državi zanikali.

@M_Simonyan https://t.co/aLk2AWjr0H

— jeroen met (@Geronimo7859) October 1, 2026

Po poročilih lokalnih medijev je Stubb zadevni intervju dal, potem ko je generalni sekretar NATO pakta Mark Rutte pozval članice zahodnega vojaškega zavezništva, naj javno pripišejo odgovornost za različne incidente Rusiji, čeprav niso povsem prepričane ali so »skoraj prepričane«, da za njimi stoji Moskva.

»Kadar je mogoče, ko ste prepričani, da so to Rusi, ali ste skoraj prepričani, da so to Rusi, jim to prišijte,« je Rutte dejal na tiskovni konferenci ta teden.

Hkrati je Stubb na vprašanje o možnosti neposrednega spopada med Natom in Rusijo ocenil, da je trenutno tveganje zanemarljivo.

Der finnische Präsident Alexander Stubb wirft Russland in einem Interview eine ganze Palette an Sicherheitsvorfällen vor – von Cyberangriffen auf spanische Banken über Migration in Ceuta bis zu Sabotage in der Ostsee. Das Problem: Für fast keine dieser Behauptungen liefert Stubb konkrete Beweise. Auf Nachfrage zu den Ereignissen in Ceuta, wo 70.000 Migranten die Grenze überquerten, musste er selbst einräumen, die Angelegenheit nicht ausreichend zu kennen, um eine Position zu beziehen. Spanien hatte Russland der Desinformation bezichtigt – beides Länder dementierten. Gleichzeitig hält Stubb einen direkten militärischen Konflikt zwischen #NATO und #Russland für unwahrscheinlich. „Es gibt keine Hinweise auf einen russischen Angriff“, sagt er – und kritisiert gleichzeitig, dass einige EU-Führungspersönlichkeiten „alarmistisch agieren“ und hypothetische Szenarien mit der tatsächlichen Bedrohungslage vermischen. Ein bemerkenswertes Eingeständnis ausgerechnet von einem Staatschef, der selbst zur Eskalation der Rhetorik beiträgt. Quelle: https://t.co/3CeSAEU8Lq

— Medusa Report (@medusareport) October 5, 2026

»Ali pričakujemo, da bo Rusija izvedla napad?

Odgovor je ne.

Za to nimamo dokazov,« je Stubb povedal za »Mundo«.

Finnish President Alexander Stubb has told El Mundo that he sees no evidence Russia is preparing to attack Finland or NATO, warning that some EU leaders are confusing hypothetical military scenarios with actual threat assessments. “We have a communication problem in Europe, because some leaders are mixing two things,” Stubb said. “One thing is a scenario. Something completely different is the threat perception.” “Do we expect Russia to attack? The answer is no. We have no evidence of that.” Stubb accused some politicians of being “alarmist” and urged the EU to follow Finland’s approach. “I ask everyone to be a little more Finnish. We have the longest border with Russia. We see exactly what Russia is going to do or not do. And, of course, we will report if we see things changing.”

— Brian McDonald (@BrianMcDonaldIE) October 4, 2026

Po besedah ​​finskega predsednika imajo voditelji EU »komunikacijske težave«, ker se nekateri od njih obnašajo »alarmistično« in mešajo hipotetične scenarije z dejanskim dojemanjem grožnje.

V podobnem duhu je litovski premier Mindaugas Sinkevičius pozval evropske uradnike, naj ne »pretiravajo« z izdajanjem opozorilnih izjav o Rusiji, saj ni dokazov, da bi Moskva načrtovala napad na NATO.

Tudi Rutte je priznal, da »ni neposredne grožnje za ozemlje Nata«.

@BowesChay The Dutch Lair. In the Netherlands, we call Rutte Pinocchio. https://t.co/TZwCo9QPQ4

— Jo Ter Meteren (@johanuit1968) October 1, 2026

Pa vendar uradniki EU nenehno poudarjajo, da bi moral biti blok sedemindvajseterice, pa tudi NATO, pripravljen na morebitno vojno z Rusijo, ob tem je denimo nemški obrambni minister Boris Pistorius dejal, da mora biti Nemčija pripravljena na spopad že leta 2028.

Nemška vlada je spremenila ustavno določbo o omejitvi dolga za financiranje vojaških izdatkov in sprejela proračun za leto 2026, ki za obrambo nameni rekordnih 108,2 milijarde evrov in za vojaško pomoč Ukrajini dodatnih 11,5 milijarde evrov.

@ivan_8848 Fucking idiot @bundeskanzler https://t.co/6XuncDt6Ve

— Intercontinental Buttocks (@dropball007) October 6, 2026

Rusija je večkrat izjavila, da ne bo napadla Nata, razen če bo sama napadena.

Moskva je ob tem opozorila, da zahodna vojaška pomoč Ukrajini povečuje verjetnost nevarne eskalacije.

Predsednik Rusije Vladimir Putin je ocenil, da evropski politiki spodbujajo napetosti z Moskvo, da bi pozornost volivcev preusmerili od gospodarskih in političnih težav v lastnih državah.